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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Gilbert Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013815502 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,077 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 04013815502 sits in the Gilbert eviction risk Ranch area of Gilbert eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 3,077. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 29% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,700
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$64,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Gilbert Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Very High
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#477 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#847 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.3015, -111.7474 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gilbert Ranch scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,736 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0

How Gilbert Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gilbert Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 815502Gilbert: 3.23.2Gilbertparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gilbert Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gilbert Ranch

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $64,395 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,736 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Gilbert commands.

Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013815502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815502?

Census tract 04013815502 in the Gilbert Ranch neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013815502?

Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815502?

8.2% of residents in tract 04013815502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,077.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 6th, minority 58th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 04013815502 considered part of Gilbert Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815502 fall within Gilbert Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013815502 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013815502 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013815502 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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