Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Blenman-Elm Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019001600 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 3,471 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 04019001600 covers part of the Blenman-Elm area of Tucson, AZ, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 17%Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,816
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$68,793
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Blenman-Elm
Moderate
Within parent city
21th percentile
#113 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Low
Within county
47th percentile
#144 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
49th percentile
#897 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2482, -110.9384 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blenman-Elm scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,166 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Blenman-Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
520Total filings over 12 yrs
5.42%Avg annual filing rate
6.1%Peak (2010)
29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2017
Filings dropped 42% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.6%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blenman-Elm
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Cost burden runs 51% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 520 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 6.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019001600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019001600?
Census tract 04019001600 in the Blenman-Elm neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019001600?
Median gross rent is $1,166/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019001600?
9.0% of residents in tract 04019001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,471.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019001600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 85th, minority 46th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 04019001600 considered part of Blenman-Elm?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019001600 fall within Blenman-Elm (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019001600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 520 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.42% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019001600 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019001600 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019001600 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.