Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Blenman-Elm Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,471 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Blenman-Elm is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Tucson with 1 census tract and a population of 3,471 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,166/month sits 2% higher than the Tucson citywide median ($1,145).

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Blenman-Elm vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.2% +56%

Tucson: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,166 +2%

Tucson: $1,145

Average HH income

$68,793 +26%

Tucson: $54,546

Poverty rate

9.0% -52%

Tucson: 18.8%

Renter share

35.7% -26%

Tucson: 48.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blenman-Elm and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Blenman-Elm scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

36% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

9.0% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Blenman-Elm vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Blenman-Elm

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04019001600	5.6	3,471	51%	$1,166

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 85%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 65%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blenman-Elm

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

520Total filings (sum)
5.42%Avg annual filing rate
6.1%Peak year (2010)
4.16%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Blenman-Elm

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.6%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
7.4%No health insurance
27.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Blenman-Elm

What is the eviction-risk score for Blenman-Elm?

Blenman-Elm scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Blenman-Elm compare to Tucson overall?

Blenman-Elm scores 1.0 points higher than Tucson overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Median rent: $1,166 vs $1,145.

What is the average rent in Blenman-Elm?

Median gross rent in Blenman-Elm is $1,166/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Blenman-Elm residents are renters?

36% of Blenman-Elm households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 3,471 residents.

Is Blenman-Elm a high social-vulnerability area?

Blenman-Elm sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Blenman-Elm for landlords?

Blenman-Elm carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Blenman-Elm?

Blenman-Elm has 3,608 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.8%), Hispanic / Latino (17.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blenman-Elm

5.8 Palo Verde 6 tracts · pop 23,081 5.8 Samos 3 tracts · pop 12,024 6.5 West University 2 tracts · pop 5,962 6.0 Amphitheater 4 tracts · pop 18,031 6.1 Keeling 2 tracts · pop 8,091 5.8 Arroyo Chico 2 tracts · pop 12,221

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blenman-Elm.

5.6 Poet's Square 5 tracts · pop 18,675 5.6 Vactor Ranch 1 tracts · pop 4,040 5.5 Colonia Verde 1 tracts · pop 3,823 5.5 Broadway Northeast 4 tracts · pop 12,779 5.5 Barrio Blue Moon 1 tracts · pop 2,092 5.7 El Gheko 3 tracts · pop 11,905

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