Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003705 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,236 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 04019003705 in the Emery Park area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.7% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,696
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$46,369
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1266, -110.9692 · click any tract to drill in
Why Emery Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$936 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Emery Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,177Total filings over 12 yrs
- 29.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.9%Peak (2013)
- 187Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 87% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.4%Food insecurity
- 27.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 29.7%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Emery Park
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Average gross rent is $936, 18% below the Tucson average. Court records carry 2,177 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 31.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 29.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003705?
Census tract 04019003705 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003705?
Median gross rent is $936/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003705?
26.0% of residents in tract 04019003705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,236.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 96th, minority 94th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003705 considered part of Emery Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003705 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003705?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,177 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.31% of renter households, peaking at 31.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003705 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003705 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003705 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019002201
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002202
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002400
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004407
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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