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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Samos Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson

Tract 04019001700 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,791 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

04019001700 is a census tract in the Samos area of Tucson, AZ. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,791. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 27% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,531
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$64,158

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Samos
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#105 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#129 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#756 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2641, -110.9314 · click any tract to drill in

Why Samos scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,079 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Samos compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Samos risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 001700Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 354Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 3.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2005)
  • 39Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190017002004: 37 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)2005: 41 filings (5.14/100 renter HHs)2006: 26 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2007: 26 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2009: 23 filings (2.88/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (2.35/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 40 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)2016: 38 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)2017: 39 filings (5.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Samos. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Samos

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 354 filings here across 12 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 5.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.

It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019001700?

Census tract 04019001700 in the Samos neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019001700?

Median gross rent is $1,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019001700?

10.7% of residents in tract 04019001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,791.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 5th, minority 46th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 04019001700 considered part of Samos?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019001700 fall within Samos (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019001700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 354 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.95% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019001700 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019001700 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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