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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Samos Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 12,024 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 3.7–5.2

Samos spans 3 census tracts of Tucson, AZ and houses 12,024 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs about half against 32.8% citywide, putting Samos 16.7% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.7 to 5.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. Filings are well documented here: 3,245 across 3 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 13.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.4% in 2017, is well off that peak.

At $1,060 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Tucson commands. That places it #16 of 32 neighborhoods in Tucson.

For a like-for-like read, Barrio San Antonio and Barrio Hollywood score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $49,284.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Samos vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.5% +51%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,060 -7%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$49,284 -10%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
23.4% +24%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
65.2% +35%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Samos and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.7–5.2

Why Samos scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
23.4% below poverty line · Range 2.7–7.8 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.9 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Samos vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Samos score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Samos: 4.94.9SamosNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Samos?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 3.7 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Samos

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019002702 5.2 5,543 49% $1,090
04019002703 5.2 3,690 57% $999
04019001700 3.7 2,791 41% $1,079
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 4%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Samos

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,245Total filings (sum)
  • 7.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak year (2012)
  • 5.86%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Samos

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Samos

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Samos?

Samos scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Samos compare to Tucson overall?

Samos scores 1.1 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,060 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Samos?

Average gross rent in Samos is $1,060/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Samos residents are renters?

65% of Samos households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 12,024 residents.
Q5

Is Samos a high social-vulnerability area?

Samos sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Samos have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Samos is census tract 04019002702 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.2, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Samos for landlords?

Samos carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Samos?

Samos has 11,790 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.9%), Hispanic / Latino (24.8%), Other / Multiracial (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Samos

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Samos.

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