El Gheko Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $919, 20% below the Tucson average. The filing record is not thin: 1,516 evictions over 12 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 15.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $56,767. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.