3 census tracts · pop 11,905 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 4–4.5
El Gheko spans 3 census tracts of Tucson, AZ and houses 11,905 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs around two-thirds against 32.8% citywide, putting El Gheko 33.0% over its own city.
32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
Court records carry 3,754 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,310, 14% above the Tucson average of $1,145. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 23.2% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 7.7% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #26 of 32 neighborhoods in Tucson.
For a like-for-like read, Sam Hughes and Palo Verde Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $54,757. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 4.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
El Gheko vs TucsonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in El Gheko
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,754Total filings (sum)
10.82%Avg annual filing rate
23.2%Peak year (2009)
8.22%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in El Gheko
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
9.6%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility shutoff threat
12.8%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
10.5%No health insurance
35.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About El Gheko
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for El Gheko?
El Gheko scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does El Gheko compare to Tucson overall?
El Gheko scores 0.4 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,310 vs $1,145.
Q3
What is the average rent in El Gheko?
Average gross rent in El Gheko is $1,310/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of El Gheko residents are renters?
49% of El Gheko households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 11,905 residents.
Q5
Is El Gheko a high social-vulnerability area?
El Gheko sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in El Gheko have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in El Gheko is census tract 04019004067 (score 4.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.5, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7
How safe is El Gheko for landlords?
El Gheko carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of El Gheko?
El Gheko has 12,350 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.5%), Hispanic / Latino (25.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
