El Gheko Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Against Pima County at 43.8%, 85% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,719 a month, rents run 50% over what the rest of Tucson commands. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $55,392, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The voucher gap is 25.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,647 evictions over 12 years of observation.

SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2008, when 23.2% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.