Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004116 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,988 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Tucson
04019004116 is a census tract in Tucson, AZ. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,988. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units871
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$54,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1385, -110.9030 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$962 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 932Total filings over 12 yrs
- 25.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.6%Peak (2006)
- 61Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.5%Food insecurity
- 25.3%SNAP enrollment
- 16.8%Transit barriers
- 24.6%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Housing insecurity runs 23.4% against 14.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $962, 16% below the Tucson average. The filing record is not thin: 932 evictions over 12 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 37.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 25.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004116
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004116?
Census tract 04019004116 in Tucson scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004116?
Median gross rent is $962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004116?
20.8% of residents in tract 04019004116 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,988.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004116?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 92th, minority 86th, housing 86th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004116?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 932 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004116 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.01% of renter households, peaking at 37.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004116 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004116 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004116 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dunbar Spring
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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