Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Broadway Northeast Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019004071 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,902 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5/10, tract 04019004071 in the Broadway Northeast area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,902 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,484
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$39,109
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2288, -110.8194 · click any tract to drill in
Why Broadway Northeast scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,004 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Broadway Northeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,671Total filings over 12 yrs
- 15.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.3%Peak (2008)
- 173Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Broadway Northeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Broadway Northeast
Cost burden runs 66% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,671 filings here across 12 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,004, 12% below the Tucson average. The worst year on record was 2008, when 27.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 15.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004071
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004071?
Census tract 04019004071 in the Broadway Northeast neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004071?
Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004071?
16.3% of residents in tract 04019004071 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,902.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004071?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 92th, minority 54th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004071 considered part of Broadway Northeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004071 fall within Broadway Northeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004071?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,671 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004071 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.21% of renter households, peaking at 27.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004071 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004071 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004071 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003506
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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