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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Catalina Foothills

Tract 04019004714 · Pima, AZ · pop 6,102 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04019004714 in the Shadow Hills area of Catalina Foothills, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,102 residents. 24% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Pima County average of 43.8%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 23% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,691
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$133,638

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Shadow Hills
Very High
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 17 tracts In Catalina Foothills
Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#186 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.3309, -110.9411 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,429 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5

How Shadow Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 004714Catalina Foothills: 3.43.4Catalina Foothillsparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 292Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 3.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2006)
  • 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047142004: 39 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (5.06/100 renter HHs)2006: 47 filings (8.50/100 renter HHs)2007: 22 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2008: 17 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2009: 31 filings (5.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 20 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (2.84/100 renter HHs)2012: 14 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (3.14/100 renter HHs)2016: 20 filings (2.71/100 renter HHs)2017: 14 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shadow Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Hills

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.4% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Pima County average of 3.9.

Court records carry 292 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 8.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $133,638, annual rent is just 13%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004714

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004714?

Census tract 04019004714 in the Shadow Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004714?

Median gross rent is $1,429/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004714?

3.2% of residents in tract 04019004714 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,102.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004714?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 37th, minority 51th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004714 considered part of Shadow Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004714 fall within Shadow Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004714?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 292 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004714 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.97% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004714 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004714 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Tract 04019004714 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills

Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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