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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Catalina Foothills

Tract 04019004726 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,926 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04019004726 sits in the Shadow Hills area of Catalina Foothills eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,926. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 18% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,699
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$139,934

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Shadow Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 17 tracts In Catalina Foothills
High
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#210 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.3088, -110.9476 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$967 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5

How Shadow Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 004726Catalina Foothills: 3.43.4Catalina Foothillsparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 1.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2005)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047262004: 4 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (0.79/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2008: 10 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 8 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (1.30/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shadow Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Hills

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $967, 32% below the Catalina Foothills average. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Pima County average of 3.9.

Court records carry 60 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2005, when 1.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004726

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004726?

Census tract 04019004726 in the Shadow Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004726?

Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004726?

2.4% of residents in tract 04019004726 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,926.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004726?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 41th, minority 42th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004726 considered part of Shadow Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004726 fall within Shadow Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004726?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 04019004726 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.02% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004726 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004726 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Tract 04019004726 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills

Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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