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Neighborhood · Catalina Foothills, AZ

Shadow Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,028 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.4–4.7

Shadow Hills is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Catalina Foothills with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,028 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 21% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 6% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,248/month sits 12% lower than the Catalina Foothills citywide median ($1,412).

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Hills vs Catalina Foothills How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.2% -21%
Catalina Foothills: 26.9%
Average gross rent
$1,248 -12%
Catalina Foothills: $1,412
Average HH income
$136,103 +20%
Catalina Foothills: $113,201
Poverty rate
2.9% -36%
Catalina Foothills: 4.6%
Renter share
22.1% -6%
Catalina Foothills: 23.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.4–4.7

Why Shadow Hills scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
21% of income on rent · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–5.4 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Shadow Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Shadow Hills: 4.64.6Shadow HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.84.8Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Shadow Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019004714 4.7 6,102 24% $1,429
04019004726 4.4 3,926 18% $967
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shadow Hills

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings (sum)
  • 2.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak year (2006)
  • 1.61%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shadow Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shadow Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Hills?

Shadow Hills scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Shadow Hills compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Shadow Hills scores 0.2 points lower than Catalina Foothills overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 21% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Median rent: $1,248 vs $1,412.

Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Hills?

Median gross rent in Shadow Hills is $1,248/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Shadow Hills residents are renters?

22% of Shadow Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Catalina Foothills). The neighborhood has 10,028 residents.

Q5

Is Shadow Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Hills sits in the 23th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Shadow Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shadow Hills is census tract 04019004714 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 4.7 — a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Shadow Hills for landlords?

Shadow Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Catalina Foothills as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Hills?

Shadow Hills has 9,856 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71%), Hispanic / Latino (15.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Catalina Foothills

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Hills.

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