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Neighborhood · Catalina Foothills, AZ

Shadow Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,028 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Shadow Hills is a 2-tract neighborhood of Catalina Foothills, AZ and houses 10,028 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.7/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 21% against 26.9% citywide, putting Shadow Hills 5.7% under its own city.

Court records carry 352 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 8.5% of renter households.

At $1,248 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Catalina Foothills commands. 4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The most recent observed rate, 1.5% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Catalina Foothills, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third.

At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $136,103, annual rent is only 11%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Hills vs Catalina Foothills How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.2% -21%
Catalina Foothills: 26.9%
Average gross rent
$1,248 -12%
Catalina Foothills: $1,412
Average HH income
$136,103 +20%
Catalina Foothills: $113,201
Poverty rate
2.9% -36%
Catalina Foothills: 4.6%
Renter share
22.1% -6%
Catalina Foothills: 23.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Shadow Hills scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
21% of income on rent · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–5.4 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Shadow Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Shadow Hills: 3.03.0Shadow HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Shadow Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019004714 3 6,102 24% $1,429
04019004726 3 3,926 18% $967
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shadow Hills

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings (sum)
  • 2.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak year (2006)
  • 1.61%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shadow Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shadow Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Hills?

Shadow Hills scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadow Hills compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Shadow Hills scores 0.4 points lower than Catalina Foothills overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 21% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,248 vs $1,412.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Hills?

Average gross rent in Shadow Hills is $1,248/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadow Hills residents are renters?

22% of Shadow Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Catalina Foothills). The neighborhood has 10,028 residents.
Q5

Is Shadow Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Hills sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shadow Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shadow Hills is census tract 04019004714 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Shadow Hills for landlords?

Shadow Hills carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Catalina Foothills as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Hills?

Shadow Hills has 9,856 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71%), Hispanic / Latino (15.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Catalina Foothills

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Hills.

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