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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Casa Grande Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04021001403 · Pinal, AZ · pop 5,666

Census tract 04021001403 covers part of Casa Grande, AZ, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,666. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 17% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,964
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$62,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.8868, -111.7486 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casa Grande scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,192 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8

How Casa Grande compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casa Grande risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001403Casa Grande: 4.04.0Casa Grandeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casa Grande

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10.

Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,192, 14% below the Casa Grande average. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001403?

Census tract 04021001403 in Casa Grande scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021001403?

Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001403?

26.7% of residents in tract 04021001403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,666.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 89th, minority 81th, housing 53th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04021001403 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04021001403 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001403 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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