Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Casa Grande Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04021001600 ·
Pinal, AZ · pop 6,202 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Casa Grande
Tract 04021001600 sits in Casa Grande eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. Population here is 6,202. Cost burden runs 7% here against 37.6% across Pinal County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 24%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,167
Renter share26.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$75,513
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
36th percentile
#10 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Low
Within county
69th percentile
#30 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Elevated
Within state
66th percentile
#599 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
44th percentile
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region
Centroid at 32.9012, -111.8480 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casa Grande scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$864 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8
How Casa Grande compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.5%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
20.2%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
9.6%Transit barriers
17.7%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casa Grande
Average gross rent is $864, 38% below the Casa Grande average. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $75,513, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely.
26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021001600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001600?
Census tract 04021001600 in Casa Grande scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021001600?
Median gross rent is $864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001600?
10.7% of residents in tract 04021001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,202.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 81th, minority 73th, housing 55th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04021001600 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04021001600 compare to Casa Grande overall?
Tract 04021001600 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande
Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.