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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 05131001002 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 2,461

Census tract 05131001002 covers part of Fort Smith, AR, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 17% here against 38.9% across Sebastian County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 18% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,041
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$98,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 23 tracts In Fort Smith
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#536 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.3548, -94.4069 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,050 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Smith risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0010023.2Fort Smithparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,050 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Fort Smith commands.

SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Sebastian County average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Against average income of $98,284, annual rent is just 13%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131001002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001002?

Census tract 05131001002 in Fort Smith scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05131001002?

Median gross rent is $1,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001002?

6.1% of residents in tract 05131001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,461.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 52th, minority 26th, housing 5th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05131001002 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05131001002 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131001002 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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