Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05131001307 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 3,083 · 61% of tract blocks fall in Fort Smith

Census tract 05131001307 runs through Fort Smith. With 3,083 residents, it scores 3.6/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 7% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,145 monthly, set against $57,011 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 35% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,592

Renter share50.4%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate14.2%

Median income$57,011

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.3075, -94.3386 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fort Smith

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.2

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

14.2% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,145 rent vs county FMR

7.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fort Smith

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fort Smith

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fort Smith

1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

23%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.7%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.5%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
29.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Sebastian County average of 4.0 and below the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131001307

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001307?

Census tract 05131001307 in Fort Smith scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05131001307?

Median gross rent is $1,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001307?

14.2% of residents in tract 05131001307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,083.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 76th, minority 39th, housing 74th.

What share of households in tract 05131001307 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05131001307 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131001307 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.