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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Carmel Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

Tract 06073008369 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,221 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06073008369 sits in the Carmel Valley area of San Diego eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. It is home to 4,221 residents. Average gross rent is $3,321, 44% above the San Diego average.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 27% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,969
Renter share57.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$168,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Carmel Valley
Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#303 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#446 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#4,881 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.9495, -117.2311 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carmel Valley scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,321 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Carmel Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carmel Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 008369San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carmel Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carmel Valley

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Disability prevalence runs 16.4% against 31.5% nationally.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 53% of renters.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $168,393.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073008369

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073008369?

Census tract 06073008369 in the Carmel Valley neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073008369?

Median gross rent is $3,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073008369?

4.6% of residents in tract 06073008369 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,221.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073008369?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 41th, minority 70th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 06073008369 considered part of Carmel Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073008369 fall within Carmel Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073008369 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073008369 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073008369 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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