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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Carmel Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

Tract 06073008331 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,667 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

06073008331 is a census tract in the Carmel Valley area of San Diego, CA. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,667 residents. At $3,501 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of San Diego commands.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 4% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units943
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$217,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Carmel Valley
Elevated
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#266 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#495 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#4,881 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.9426, -117.2241 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carmel Valley scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Carmel Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carmel Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 008331San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carmel Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carmel Valley

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.9% against 31.5% nationally.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $217,083.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073008331

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073008331?

Census tract 06073008331 in the Carmel Valley neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073008331?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073008331?

2.8% of residents in tract 06073008331 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,667.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073008331?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 37th, minority 53th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 06073008331 considered part of Carmel Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073008331 fall within Carmel Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073008331 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073008331 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073008331 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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