Carmel Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. At $2,862 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of San Diego commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.