Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Eastlake Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista
Tract 06073013417 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 2,075 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 6.4/10, tract 06073013417 in the Eastlake area of Chula Vista, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,075. Cost burden runs 30% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 6%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units664
Renter share9.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$152,700
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Eastlake
Moderate
Within parent city
9th percentile
#49 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Very Low
Within county
22th percentile
#575 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
30th percentile
#6,341 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.6590, -116.9845 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastlake scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Eastlake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
30%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.8%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
7.3%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastlake
Average gross rent is $3,501, 57% above the Chula Vista average. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.
The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.2 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073013417
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013417?
Census tract 06073013417 in the Eastlake neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073013417?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013417?
4.0% of residents in tract 06073013417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,075.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013417?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 73th, minority 79th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 06073013417 considered part of Eastlake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013417 fall within Eastlake (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073013417 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073013417 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073013417 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.