Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Stanislaus County average of 6.5.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,642, close to the Modesto average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $64,294.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.