Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105010402 · Polk, FL · pop 5,249
Tract 12105010402, home to 5,249 residents in Lakeland, scores 4.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,091 a month against an average household income of $61,148 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,247
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$61,148
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeland and the region
Centroid at 28.0342, -81.9412 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,091 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
How Lakeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 903Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.7%Peak (2005)
- 41Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeland
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 3.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 903 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.7% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105010402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105010402?
Census tract 12105010402 in Lakeland scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105010402?
Median gross rent is $1,091/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105010402?
15.2% of residents in tract 12105010402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,249.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105010402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 2th, minority 42th, housing 64th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105010402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 903 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105010402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105010402 compare to Lakeland overall?
Tract 12105010402 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland
Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105011203
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105016400
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105011100
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105011204
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105012002
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105010800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105011300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105012309
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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