Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012511 · Polk, FL · pop 5,369

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105012511 (Poinciana, Florida) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,560 a month while the average household earns $73,064 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 26% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,389

Renter share44.3%

SVI overall0.37

Poverty rate22.6%

Median income$73,064

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.0780, -81.4524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Poinciana

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

22.6% poverty · this tract

5.7

Supply constraint

$1,560 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Poinciana

9.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Poinciana

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Poinciana

7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

60%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
0%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012511

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012511?

Census tract 12105012511 in Poinciana scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105012511?

Median gross rent is $1,560/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012511?

22.6% of residents in tract 12105012511 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,369.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012511?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 85th, minority 93th, housing 0th.

How does tract 12105012511 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12105012511 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Poinciana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.