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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

H &K Trailer Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Decatur

Tract 17115001600 · Macon County, IL · pop 2,478 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 17115001600, in H &K Trailer Court in Decatur eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,478. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,096 monthly, set against $58,036 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 13% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units669
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$58,036

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In H &K Trailer Court
Moderate
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 30 tracts In Decatur
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 37 tracts In Macon County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#575 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8412, -88.9776 · click any tract to drill in

Why H &K Trailer Court scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Decatur
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Decatur
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Decatur
6.2

How H &K Trailer Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
H &K Trailer Court risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 001600Decatur: 4.64.6Decaturparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within H &K Trailer Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in H &K Trailer Court

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Macon County average of 5.2 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115001600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115001600?

Census tract 17115001600 in the H &K Trailer Court neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17115001600?

Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115001600?

28.2% of residents in tract 17115001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,478.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 6th, minority 56th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 17115001600 considered part of H &K Trailer Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17115001600 fall within H &K Trailer Court (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17115001600 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17115001600 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115001600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17115001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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