Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Saginaw Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 26145000200 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 1,576

Census tract 26145000200 belongs to Saginaw, Michigan. It is home to 1,576 residents and scores 7.5/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,021 monthly, set against $22,768 in average yearly household income, roughly 54% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 16% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units496

Renter share56.5%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate65.1%

Median income$22,768

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4443, -83.9115 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saginaw scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saginaw

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

65.1% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,021 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saginaw

8.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saginaw

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saginaw

9.1

How Saginaw compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
69%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
60%Grade C
39%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

39.7%Housing insecurity
37.7%Utility-shutoff threat
58.0%Food insecurity
67.3%SNAP enrollment
29.5%Transit barriers
13.4%No health insurance
25.0%Frequent mental distress
52.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saginaw

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Saginaw County average of 6.1 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 39.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 37.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145000200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145000200?

Census tract 26145000200 in Saginaw scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26145000200?

Median gross rent is $1,021/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145000200?

65.1% of residents in tract 26145000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,576.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 69th, minority 98th, housing 45th.

What share of households in tract 26145000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 37.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26145000200 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145000200 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26145000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.