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Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Saginaw Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 26145000200 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 1,576

Census tract 26145000200 covers part of Saginaw, MI, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,576. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 16% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units496
Renter share56.5%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate65.1%
Median income$22,768

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 20 tracts In Saginaw
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 61 tracts In Saginaw County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Very High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4443, -83.9115 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saginaw scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Saginaw
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
65.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,021 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saginaw
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saginaw
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saginaw
9.1

How Saginaw compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saginaw risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0002004.6Saginawparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saginaw

Cost burden runs 72% here against 48.1% across Saginaw County. Annualized rent equals 54% of average household income of $22,768, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Housing insecurity runs 39.7% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 58.0% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 65%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9/10. Against the Saginaw County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.

Average gross rent is $1,021, 11% above the Saginaw average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Saginaw. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145000200?

Census tract 26145000200 in Saginaw scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26145000200?

Median gross rent is $1,021/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145000200?

65.1% of residents in tract 26145000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,576.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 69th, minority 98th, housing 45th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 26145000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 37.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 26145000200 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145000200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 26145000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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