Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Gravois Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510116400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 5,259 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
29510116400 is a census tract in the Gravois Park area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,259. Food insecurity runs 37.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,099
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$46,564
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5910, -90.2398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gravois Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$912 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Gravois Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,035Total filings over 13 yrs
- 13.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.6%Peak (2006)
- 152Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 618Total filings 2020-21
- 8.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gravois Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.1%Housing insecurity
- 25.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.9%Food insecurity
- 36.3%SNAP enrollment
- 20.7%Transit barriers
- 16.3%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 44.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gravois Park
Housing insecurity runs 32.1% against 14.2% nationally. The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 2,035 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 17.6% of renter households were served.
At $912 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of St. Louis commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 13.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510116400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116400?
Census tract 29510116400 in the Gravois Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510116400?
Median gross rent is $912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116400?
22.1% of residents in tract 29510116400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,259.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 99th, minority 84th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 29510116400 considered part of Gravois Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116400 fall within Gravois Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,035 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.52% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510116400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510116400 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510116400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510116400 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510116400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Peabody-Darst-Webbe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Gravois Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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