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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Cather Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109000300 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 4,113 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

31109000300 is a census tract in the Cather area of Lincoln, NE. It scores 5/10 for landlords. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Lancaster County average of 43.9%.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 57% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,935
Renter share75.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$53,206

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cather
Moderate
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#49 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8419, -96.6611 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cather scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$826 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Cather compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cather risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0003003.6Lincolnparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 700Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2008)
  • 57Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31109000300
Filings climbed 78% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cather

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. At $826 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Lincoln commands.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.2 points above the Lancaster County average of 3.8. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 700 eviction filings across 14 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2008 at 6.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lincoln. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000300?

Census tract 31109000300 in the Cather neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109000300?

Median gross rent is $826/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000300?

18.5% of residents in tract 31109000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,113.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 56th, minority 42th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 31109000300 considered part of Cather?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000300 fall within Cather (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 700 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.64% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109000300 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109000300 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109000300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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