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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Kenaston Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln

Tract 31109002701 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,037 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 31109002701 covers part of the Kenaston area of Lincoln, NE, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,037 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 41% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,381
Renter share71.9%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$52,989

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Kenaston
Moderate
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#197 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.7734, -96.6538 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kenaston scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$894 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Kenaston compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kenaston risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0027013.6Lincolnparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 304Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2007)
  • 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31109002701
Filings dropped 35% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kenaston

This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. At $894 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Lincoln commands.

The filing record is not thin: 304 evictions over 14 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2007, when 4.6% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lincoln. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109002701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109002701?

Census tract 31109002701 in the Kenaston neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109002701?

Median gross rent is $894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109002701?

6.4% of residents in tract 31109002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,037.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109002701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 32th, minority 50th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 31109002701 considered part of Kenaston?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109002701 fall within Kenaston (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109002701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 304 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109002701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.36% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109002701 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109002701 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109002701 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109002701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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