Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln

Tract 31109003723 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 4,033 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 31109003723 in the Colonial Hills area of Lincoln, NE reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,033. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%

Tract context

Occupied units1,509

Renter share7.4%

SVI overall0.02

Poverty rate4.3%

Median income$108,359

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.7625, -96.6348 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lincoln

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Nebraska legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

4.3% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$2,044 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lincoln

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lincoln

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lincoln

3.0

How Colonial Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

4%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.1%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
5.6%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
3.7%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
11.0%Frequent mental distress
21.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Hills

Against Lancaster County at 43.9%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,044, 88% above the Lincoln average.

The voucher gap is 81.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Food insecurity runs 5.6% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Lancaster County average of 3.8.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109003723

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003723?

Census tract 31109003723 in the Colonial Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 31109003723?

Median gross rent is $2,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003723?

4.3% of residents in tract 31109003723 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,033.

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003723?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 5th, minority 18th, housing 11th.

Is tract 31109003723 considered part of Colonial Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003723 fall within Colonial Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 31109003723 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 31109003723 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109003723 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 31109003723 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.