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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln

Tract 31109003723 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 4,033 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 31109003723 covers the Colonial Hills neighborhood of Lincoln, home to 4,033 residents. For landlords it grades 4.7/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #60,252 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,044 a month against an average household income of $108,359 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,509
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$108,359

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Colonial Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#401 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.7625, -96.6348 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Hills scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,044 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Colonial Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colonial Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 003723Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Hills

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109003723

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003723?

Census tract 31109003723 in the Colonial Hills neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109003723?

Median gross rent is $2,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003723?

4.3% of residents in tract 31109003723 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,033.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003723?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 5th, minority 18th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 31109003723 considered part of Colonial Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003723 fall within Colonial Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 31109003723 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 31109003723 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109003723 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 31109003723 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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