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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally

Port Ivory Eviction Risk: Elevated , Elizabeth

Tract 34039031000 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,917 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34039031000 (Port Ivory in Elizabeth, New Jersey) comes in at 7.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #2,979 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,556 a month while the average household earns $61,532 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 28% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,230
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$61,532

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Port Ivory
Low
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
Moderate
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 120 tracts In Union County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#301 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6552, -74.1980 · click any tract to drill in

Why Port Ivory scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,556 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Port Ivory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Port Ivory risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.47.4This tracttract 031000Elizabeth: 8.28.2Elizabethparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 365Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.9%Peak (2016)
  • 87Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390310002013: 96 filings (10.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 110 filings (12.85/100 renter HHs)2017: 72 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)2018: 87 filings (10.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039031000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031000?

Census tract 34039031000 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039031000?

Median gross rent is $1,556/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031000?

13.2% of residents in tract 34039031000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,917.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 88th, minority 95th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 34039031000 considered part of Port Ivory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039031000 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031000?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 365 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.46% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039031000 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039031000 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039031000 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039031000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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