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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,214 of 84,120 nationally

Port Ivory Eviction Risk: Elevated , Elizabeth

Tract 34039039801 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,310 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 34039039801 runs through the Port Ivory area of Elizabeth. With 5,310 residents, it scores 7.4/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,485 a month while the average household earns $71,125 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 76% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 29% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,468
Renter share75.9%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$71,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Port Ivory
Elevated
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#211 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6545, -74.1676 · click any tract to drill in

Why Port Ivory scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,485 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Port Ivory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Port Ivory risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.97.9This tracttract 039801Elizabeth: 8.28.2Elizabethparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 28% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039039801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039039801?

Census tract 34039039801 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039039801?

Median gross rent is $1,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039039801?

21.7% of residents in tract 34039039801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039039801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 81th, minority 89th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 34039039801 considered part of Port Ivory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039039801 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039039801 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039039801 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039039801 scores 7.9/10, lower than the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039039801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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