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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Port Ivory Eviction Risk: High , Elizabeth

Tract 34039039801 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,310 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

34039039801 is a census tract in the Port Ivory area of Elizabeth, NJ. It scores 9.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,310 residents. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 29% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,468
Renter share75.9%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$71,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Port Ivory
Low
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#166 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6545, -74.1676 · click any tract to drill in

Why Port Ivory scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,485 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Port Ivory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Port Ivory risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0398017.7Elizabethparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory

Cost burden runs 61% here against 44.6% across Union County. It sits 2.5 points above the Union County average of 6.6. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 31.0% against 11.3% nationally. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 25.3% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039039801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039039801?

Census tract 34039039801 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039039801?

Median gross rent is $1,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039039801?

21.7% of residents in tract 34039039801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039039801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 81th, minority 89th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 34039039801 considered part of Port Ivory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039039801 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039039801 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039039801 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039039801 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039039801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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