Larkinville Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

At $355 a month, rents run 66% under what the rest of Buffalo commands. Food insecurity runs 65.7% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 58%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $12,738, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.4% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.