Larkinville Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $943, 10% below the Buffalo average.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.