Larkinville Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,042, close to the Buffalo average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.