Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

East Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029003800 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,398 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 36029003800 covers part of the East Side area of Buffalo, NY, and scores 9.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,398. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

9.3

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 41% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,214

Renter share64.2%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate43.0%

Median income$31,129

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9168, -78.8018 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Side scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

43.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$951 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How East Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
91%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

38.3%Housing insecurity
29.3%Utility-shutoff threat
47.7%Food insecurity
53.6%SNAP enrollment
24.5%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
23.3%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Side

Food insecurity runs 47.7% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 38.3% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

Set annual rent against average income of $31,129 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Erie County average of 44.6%.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. At $951 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Buffalo commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029003800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029003800?

Census tract 36029003800 in the East Side neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029003800?

Median gross rent is $951/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029003800?

43.0% of residents in tract 36029003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,398.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029003800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 89th, minority 90th, housing 58th.

Is tract 36029003800 considered part of East Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029003800 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029003800 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029003800 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029003800 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029003800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.