Elmwood Village Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo
Tract 36029016802 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,008 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 36029016802 covers part of the Elmwood Village area of Buffalo, NY, and scores 8.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 31% here against 44.6% across Erie County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.9154, -78.8580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood Village scores 8.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elmwood Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 57%Grade C
- 27%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.4%Housing insecurity
- 16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.2%Food insecurity
- 26.8%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood Village
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 26.8% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 24.4% against 14.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $889, 15% below the Buffalo average.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 36029016802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029016802?
What is the average rent in tract 36029016802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029016802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029016802?
Is tract 36029016802 considered part of Elmwood Village?
What share of households in tract 36029016802 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 36029016802 compare to Buffalo overall?
Was tract 36029016802 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo
Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.