Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Heather Glen Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063001604 · Durham County, NC · pop 6,722 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
37063001604 is a census tract in the Heather Glen area of Durham, NC. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,722. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,860
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$94,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0931, -78.9560 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heather Glen scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,464 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Heather Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 153Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2011)
- 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heather Glen
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 153 evictions over 11 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001604?
Census tract 37063001604 in the Heather Glen neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063001604?
Median gross rent is $1,464/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001604?
12.1% of residents in tract 37063001604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,722.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 41th, minority 61th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 37063001604 considered part of Heather Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001604 fall within Heather Glen (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 153 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.61% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063001604 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063001604 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001604 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Burch Avenue
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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