Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Beech Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063002032 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,500 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
37063002032 is a census tract in the Beech Lake area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,500. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,141
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$51,678
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9580, -78.9694 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beech Lake scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,344 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Beech Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Beech Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 13.1%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Beech Lake
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Durham County average of 43.8%. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,344, 11% below the Durham average. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $51,678.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002032
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002032?
Census tract 37063002032 in the Beech Lake neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002032?
Median gross rent is $1,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002032?
21.8% of residents in tract 37063002032 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,500.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002032?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 20th, minority 82th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002032 considered part of Beech Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002032 fall within Beech Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37063002032 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37063002032 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002032 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Duke Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
L L Wilkins
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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