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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Duke Homestead Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001705 · Durham County, NC · pop 5,745 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 37063001705 sits in the Duke Homestead area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 5,745 residents. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,356
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$64,263

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Duke Homestead
Moderate
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#21 of 70 tracts In Durham
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0368, -78.9249 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duke Homestead scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,532 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Duke Homestead compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Duke Homestead risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 001705Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,184Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 11.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.6%Peak (2013)
  • 89Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630017052005: 80 filings (9.24/100 renter HHs)2006: 121 filings (13.98/100 renter HHs)2009: 115 filings (13.28/100 renter HHs)2010: 112 filings (13.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 122 filings (10.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 139 filings (12.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 143 filings (12.60/100 renter HHs)2014: 99 filings (8.72/100 renter HHs)2015: 94 filings (8.28/100 renter HHs)2016: 70 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)2017: 89 filings (10.70/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duke Homestead

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Durham County average of 43.8%. Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Court records carry 1,184 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 11.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001705

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001705?

Census tract 37063001705 in the Duke Homestead neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001705?

Median gross rent is $1,532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001705?

18.4% of residents in tract 37063001705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,745.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 87th, minority 67th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001705 considered part of Duke Homestead?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001705 fall within Duke Homestead (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001705?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,184 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.06% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063001705 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063001705 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001705 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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