Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Horton Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001710 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,864 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 37063001710 sits in the Horton Hills area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 4,864. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 21% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,965
Renter share42.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$73,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Horton Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 70 tracts In Durham
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#665 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0568, -78.9125 · click any tract to drill in

Why Horton Hills scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,233 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Horton Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Horton Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 001710Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,720Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 31.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 47.6%Peak (2012)
  • 250Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630017102005: 170 filings (20.98/100 renter HHs)2006: 211 filings (26.04/100 renter HHs)2009: 165 filings (20.36/100 renter HHs)2010: 203 filings (27.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 238 filings (29.71/100 renter HHs)2012: 381 filings (47.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 312 filings (38.95/100 renter HHs)2014: 283 filings (35.33/100 renter HHs)2015: 196 filings (24.47/100 renter HHs)2016: 311 filings (39.67/100 renter HHs)2017: 250 filings (31.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Horton Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Horton Hills

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Against Durham County at 43.8%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,233 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Durham commands. Court records carry 2,720 eviction filings across 11 observed years.

It sits 0.7 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. Filings peaked in 2012 at 47.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 31.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001710?

Census tract 37063001710 in the Horton Hills neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001710?

Median gross rent is $1,233/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001710?

16.5% of residents in tract 37063001710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,864.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 83th, minority 82th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001710 considered part of Horton Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001710 fall within Horton Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001710?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,720 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.10% of renter households, peaking at 47.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063001710 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063001710 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001710 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related