Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Horton Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063001711 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,649 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
37063001711 is a census tract in the Horton Hills area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units2,366
Renter share80.4%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$53,714
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0589, -78.9315 · click any tract to drill in
Why Horton Hills scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,228 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Horton Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5,506Total filings over 11 yrs
- 30.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 39.8%Peak (2010)
- 406Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Horton Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.6%Housing insecurity
- 15.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.2%Food insecurity
- 25.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 35.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Horton Hills
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Against Durham County at 43.8%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. Average gross rent is $1,228, 19% below the Durham average. The filing record is not thin: 5,506 evictions over 11 years of observation.
Housing insecurity runs 21.6% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 39.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 31.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001711
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001711?
Census tract 37063001711 in the Horton Hills neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063001711?
Median gross rent is $1,228/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001711?
16.8% of residents in tract 37063001711 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,649.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001711?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 59th, minority 78th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 37063001711 considered part of Horton Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001711 fall within Horton Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001711?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,506 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001711 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.98% of renter households, peaking at 39.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063001711 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063001711 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001711 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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