Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Abron Drive Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063002021 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,898 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
37063002021 is a census tract in the Abron Drive area of Durham, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,898 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,150
Renter share54.0%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$102,725
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9048, -78.9427 · click any tract to drill in
Why Abron Drive scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Abron Drive compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,724Total filings over 11 yrs
- 11.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.4%Peak (2006)
- 127Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Abron Drive
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Durham County average of 4.1. SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against Durham County at 43.8%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 1,724 evictions over 11 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 21.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002021
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002021?
Census tract 37063002021 in the Abron Drive neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002021?
Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002021?
4.8% of residents in tract 37063002021 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,898.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002021?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 31th, minority 73th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002021 considered part of Abron Drive?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002021 fall within Abron Drive (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002021?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,724 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002021 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.91% of renter households, peaking at 21.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063002021 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063002021 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002021 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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