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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Abron Drive Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37063002021 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,898 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Abron Drive neighborhood of Durham anchors census tract 37063002021, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,455 a month while the average household earns $102,725 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 33% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,150
Renter share54.0%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$102,725

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Abron Drive
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 70 tracts In Durham
Very Low
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#2,023 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9048, -78.9427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Abron Drive scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Abron Drive compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Abron Drive risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 002021Durham: 3.43.4Durhamparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,724Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 11.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.4%Peak (2006)
  • 127Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630020212005: 184 filings (15.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 253 filings (21.37/100 renter HHs)2009: 198 filings (16.72/100 renter HHs)2010: 211 filings (15.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 222 filings (15.67/100 renter HHs)2012: 122 filings (8.61/100 renter HHs)2013: 109 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 122 filings (8.61/100 renter HHs)2015: 85 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 91 filings (6.45/100 renter HHs)2017: 127 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Abron Drive

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Durham County average of 5.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063002021

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002021?

Census tract 37063002021 in the Abron Drive neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063002021?

Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002021?

4.8% of residents in tract 37063002021 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,898.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002021?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 31th, minority 73th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 37063002021 considered part of Abron Drive?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002021 fall within Abron Drive (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002021?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,724 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002021 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.91% of renter households, peaking at 21.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063002021 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063002021 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063002021 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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