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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Keene Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063002026 · Durham County, NC · pop 8,827 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

37063002026 is a census tract in the Keene area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 8,827 residents. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 30% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units3,284
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$57,437

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Keene
Very Low
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 70 tracts In Durham
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#217 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9458, -78.8971 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keene scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,375 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Keene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keene risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 002026Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,713Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 31.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.4%Peak (2014)
  • 308Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630020262005: 312 filings (33.44/100 renter HHs)2006: 329 filings (35.26/100 renter HHs)2009: 404 filings (43.29/100 renter HHs)2010: 514 filings (34.66/100 renter HHs)2011: 526 filings (34.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 406 filings (26.24/100 renter HHs)2013: 495 filings (32.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 547 filings (35.36/100 renter HHs)2015: 482 filings (31.16/100 renter HHs)2016: 390 filings (21.76/100 renter HHs)2017: 308 filings (17.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Keene. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keene

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 43.8% across Durham County. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 27.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 25.2% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,713 filings here across 11 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 35.4% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,375, 9% below the Durham average.

In a typical year about 31.3% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063002026

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002026?

Census tract 37063002026 in the Keene neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063002026?

Median gross rent is $1,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002026?

19.9% of residents in tract 37063002026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,827.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002026?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 61th, minority 88th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 37063002026 considered part of Keene?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002026 fall within Keene (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002026?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,713 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002026 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.31% of renter households, peaking at 35.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063002026 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063002026 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063002026 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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