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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Beech Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063002031 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,292 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

37063002031 is a census tract in the Beech Lake area of Durham, NC. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,292 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 53% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,053
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$88,640

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Beech Lake
Very Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 70 tracts In Durham
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#795 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9593, -78.9615 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beech Lake scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,361 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Beech Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beech Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 002031Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beech Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beech Lake

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Cost burden runs 32% here against 43.8% across Durham County.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $1,361 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Durham commands. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Durham County average of 4.1 closely.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $88,640.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063002031

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002031?

Census tract 37063002031 in the Beech Lake neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063002031?

Median gross rent is $1,361/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002031?

19.1% of residents in tract 37063002031 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,292.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002031?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 7th, minority 79th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 37063002031 considered part of Beech Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002031 fall within Beech Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37063002031 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37063002031 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063002031 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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