Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Beech Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063002031 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,292 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 37063002031 covers Beech Lake in Durham, home to 2,292 residents. For landlords it grades 5.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,361 monthly, set against $88,640 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,053
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$88,640
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9593, -78.9615 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beech Lake scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,361 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Beech Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Beech Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 16.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Beech Lake
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002031
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002031?
Census tract 37063002031 in the Beech Lake neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002031?
Median gross rent is $1,361/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002031?
19.1% of residents in tract 37063002031 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002031?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 7th, minority 79th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002031 considered part of Beech Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002031 fall within Beech Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37063002031 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37063002031 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002031 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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