Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Durham Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37063002200 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,513 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
37063002200 is a census tract in the Downtown Durham area of Durham, NC. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 29% here against 43.8% across Durham County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 54%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,863
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$91,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9994, -78.9018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Durham scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,761 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Downtown Durham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 42%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 704Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.5%Peak (2005)
- 47Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 20.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Durham
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,761, 17% above the Durham average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 704 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 20.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 10.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002200?
Census tract 37063002200 in the Downtown Durham neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002200?
Median gross rent is $1,761/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002200?
14.9% of residents in tract 37063002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,513.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 3th, minority 46th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002200 considered part of Downtown Durham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002200 fall within Downtown Durham (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 704 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.54% of renter households, peaking at 20.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063002200 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063002200 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002200 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063002200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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