Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Southwyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095007202 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,464 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 39095007202 covers Southwyck in Toledo, home to 3,464 residents. For landlords it grades 5.6/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #33,781 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $784 monthly, set against $54,486 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,618
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$54,486
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6017, -83.6481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southwyck scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$784 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How Southwyck compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,305Total filings over 15 yrs
- 11.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.1%Peak (2004)
- 33Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 35% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southwyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southwyck
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,305 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 11.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.1% of renter households in 2004.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095007202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007202?
Census tract 39095007202 in the Southwyck neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095007202?
Median gross rent is $784/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007202?
17.6% of residents in tract 39095007202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 74th, minority 46th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 39095007202 considered part of Southwyck?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007202 fall within Southwyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095007202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,305 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095007202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.42% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095007202 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095007202 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095007202 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Northriver
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Toledo
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
McComas Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Warren-Sherman
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Birckhead Place
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northlawn
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bush Street Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Heather Downs
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related