Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Southwyck Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo

Tract 39095007204 · Lucas County, OH · pop 5,018 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 3.2/10, tract 39095007204 in the Southwyck area of Toledo, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,018 residents. 12% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Lucas County average of 41.3%.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 56% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,426
Renter share63.3%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$60,522

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Southwyck
Very Low
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#113 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#2,053 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6049, -83.6801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwyck scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$866 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Southwyck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southwyck risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0072044.0Toledoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,324Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 6.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2007)
  • 72Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39095007204
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwyck

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,324 filings here across 15 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 7.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $60,522, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007204?

Census tract 39095007204 in the Southwyck neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095007204?

Median gross rent is $866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007204?

6.1% of residents in tract 39095007204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,018.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 31th, minority 66th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 39095007204 considered part of Southwyck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007204 fall within Southwyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095007204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,324 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095007204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.29% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095007204 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095007204 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007204 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095007204 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related