Ross Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.4 points above the Lancaster County average of 4.2.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 685 filings here across 7 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 16.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 12.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,231, close to the Lancaster average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $72,976.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.